As a commercial vehicle enthusiast, digging into the latest FADA report for April 2025 is a great way to get a feel of the pulse of India’s commercial vehicle (CV) market, which includes trucks, buses, three-wheelers and tractors. While the overall auto retail market grew 3.0% year-on-year (YoY), the CV segment contracted. Let’s break it down.
Commercial Vehicles:
In April 2025, Commercial Vehicle (CV) segment declined 1.05% YoY and 4.44% month-on-month (MoM). This was due to OEM price hikes and stagnant freight rates which pulled down the sales. Also dealer feedback suggests that advance purchases in March led to high carryover stocks and holiday calendar dampened fresh inquiries and delayed conversions.
Segment wise Breakup in Commercial Vehicles:
Three-Wheelers: The Star of the Show:
Three-Wheelers was the star of the show, up 24.5% YoY and 0.39% MoM, 99,766 units in April 2025. This growth was more pronounced in the electric vehicle (EV) sub-segment of three-wheelers.
Tractors: Robust Rural Demand:
Tractors were up 7.5% YoY, but down 17.70% MoM, 60,915 units. Strong Rabi harvest and above normal monsoon forecast is good for rural income and farm sector growth which are key drivers for tractor sales. Diesel continues to be the dominant fuel for tractors, 99.98% of the market share in April 2025.
OEM Performance in Commercial Vehicles (April 2025 YoY Comparison):
OEM Performance in Three-Wheelers (April 2025 YoY Comparison):
OEM Performance in Tractors (April 2025 YoY Comparison):
Near-Term Outlook:
The near-term outlook for the commercial vehicle industry remains cautiously optimistic. While rural caution persists as spending outpaces incomes, the RBI's liquidity boost is expected to ease lending rates, potentially enhancing auto-loan affordability. For CVs specifically, demand is expected to remain flat amid competition from electric three-wheelers, although OEM schemes and forthcoming infrastructure projects may offer some relief. The industry will need to focus on disciplined inventory management and targeted incentives to sustain momentum.
Conclusion:
The April 2025 FADA report paints a mixed but resilient picture for the Indian commercial vehicle market. While the overall CV segment experienced a slight downturn, specific categories like three-wheelers, particularly EVs, and the bus segment demonstrated robust growth. The tractor segment is poised for continued strength driven by positive agricultural forecasts. As the industry navigates various headwinds and tailwinds, the emphasis on strategic adjustments and support for first-time buyers will be crucial for sustained growth in the dynamic Indian commercial vehicle landscape.